Euro 2024 Group Stage Betting Guide – Predictions, Odds & Expert Tips

By

Bram Welch

Bram Welch Sports Editor

Bram Welch has been writing about sports betting and iGaming for over six years. He started as a freelancer before joining our team in 2022. He has worked teaching English as a foreign language and as a journalist for the UK's largest regional newspaper.

All posts by Bram Welch

Sports Editor

Updated 17 Dec 2024

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With Euro 2024 on the horizon, we’ve crafted the ultimate UEFA Euro 2024 Group Stage betting guide. This comprehensive resource offers predictions, the latest odds, and expert tips to help you navigate each group’s Euro 2024 betting landscape. For those looking for the best offshore sportsbooks, our guide provides valuable insights and recommendations.

From standout favorites to promising underdogs, we break down the key teams and matchups, providing valuable insights to enhance your betting strategy.

Whether you’re aiming for safe bets or looking to capitalize on potential surprises, our Euro 2024 Group Stage Betting Guide has you covered. Let’s start with Group A.

Euro 2024 Group A Betting Tips

Practically every online sportsbook has made Germany the standout favorite to progress from Group A, with a 96.20% implied chance of qualification. The battle for second place, however, is less clear-cut.

Hungary & Switzerland are both given a 63.60% chance, while Scotland, the bookies’ underdogs, have an implied probability of 52.40%.

Germany To Win Group A (-200)

The safe bet in Group A is backing Germany to win their group at -200. The host nation was given a bye for Euro 2024, so we’ve only had a few friendly matches to see them under new boss Julian Nagelsmann.

In March, they recorded a 2-1 victory over the Netherlands, followed by a 2-0 victory against France. Many will expect them to walk through their group, consisting of less difficult opposition.

Hungary To Qualify From Group A (-175)

Hungary remained unbeaten during their Euro qualification campaign, winning five and drawing three, qualifying as champions of their group. This added to an unbeaten run that predates September 2022, when they lost to Italy in the Nations League.

It’s not an easy group to qualify from, which is reflected in the close odds, but Hungary gets our backing due to their ability to win and grind out well-fought draws against tougher opposition.

Euro 2024 Group B Betting Tips

Group B is the most difficult group on paper, with 3 of FIFA’s top 10 ranked nations competing. Spain is the favorite with a 94.10% implied chance of qualifying, closely followed by defending champions Italy with an 87.50% implied chance of qualification.

However, Croatia (75%) are no pushovers. The predicted line-up for the first XI is strong and includes the likes of six-time UCL winner Luca Modric. Croatia also finished third in the 2022 World Cup, followed by a narrow loss in the final of the Nations League in 2023, so it will certainly be no pushover this time around.

Elsewhere, Albania, despite being underdogs at (26.70%) managed an impressive qualification, topping their group ahead of Poland & Czech Republic.

Italy To Win Group B (+188)

The defending champions have a point to prove following their failure to qualify for the Qatar World Cup. The Euros have been their hunting ground in recent years, winning their group in the last two competitions (2016 & 2020).

While Spain is the safe bet to win the group, there is a lot of variance at play, with teams like Italy and Croatia to overcome. Italy’s +188 to win Group B stands out as good value.

Croatia To Qualify From Group B (+400)

Croatia would be odds-on to qualify in virtually any other group; however, being in a group with Spain and Italy has heavily reduced their chances from a bookie’s perspective.

However, Croatia has proved on numerous occasions that they’re more than capable of competing with the best teams, earning them the ranking of 10th best in the world going into this competition.

Euro 2024 Group C Betting Tips

This year’s outright favorites, England, are unsurprisingly odds-on to dominate Group C at -300 to win and -5000 to qualify. The battle for second place has Denmark as favorites (-350), Serbia as onlookers (-150), and Slovenia as underdogs (+175).

England To Win Group C (-300)

You won’t find easier money if you’re a high-roller looking to place a large bet. England went unbeaten in the qualifiers, marking their intent for the upcoming competition following their loss on penalties last time.

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Slovenia To Qualify From Group C (+175)

Now, this wager is one for the speculative bettors. Slovenia finished joint-top of their qualifying group, edged out by Denmark on goal difference. This was the first time they directly qualified for a major tournament without needing playoffs.

Now in their first Euro finals for 24 years, Slovenia has been handed the underdog status for Group C, and rightly so. With a loss to England already penciled in, their opener against Denmark will undoubtedly be the linchpin in their qualification dreams.

Euro 2024 Group D Betting Tips

The second outright favorite, France, is expected to dominate Group D with -188 odds to win, while the Netherlands (-450 to qualify) looks set to join them in the Round of 16.

However, this is no easy group. While Group B has been coined the Group of Death, we believe that Group D could throw equally as many curveballs, with Austria (-110 to qualify) and Poland (+120 to qualify) equally difficult to overcome.

France To Win Group D (-188)

France are strong favorites to win Group D, but their odds are slightly improved by having the Netherlands in their group. The two sides were in the same qualification group, with France confidently beating them on both occasions (4-0 & 2-1). We believe that they will do the same again in the group stages.

Poland To Qualify From Group D (+120)

You might have learned by now that we like backing an underdog, and doing so is made easier when they have a talismanic striker such as Robert Lewandowski.

There’s no denying that backing Poland to qualify is a long shot. However, they did manage to progress from the group stages of the 2022 World Cup, only to be knocked out against France in the Round of 16.

Those with a keen eye will notice that Poland narrowly reached this year’s European finals following a poor qualifying run. This can largely be attributed to the loss of Robert Lewandowski for numerous games.

Euro 2024 Group E Betting Tips

With Romelu Lukaku, the top scorer in UEFA Euro 2024 Qualifying (14 goals) in the team, it’s little surprise that Belgium is the standout favorite to win Group E at -250. However, this group is set to have an unpredictable battle for the second-place qualifying spot.

Ukraine (-188), Romania (-175), and Slovakia (+100) are hard to separate from the bookie’s perspective when it comes to qualification.

Belgium To Win Group E (-250)

Belgium has been given an easy route to the knockout rounds, with no team in their group likely to cause an upset. The Belgians went unbeaten in the qualifiers, conceding just 4 goals from their eight matches.

Slovakia To Qualify From Group E (+100)

Slovakia takes our pick of the bunch when it comes to claiming the second qualification spot. They finished their qualifying group in second, with their only losses coming to Group winners Portugal. On both occasions, Portugal fielded their strongest XI, and each time, they only managed to overcome Slovakia by a single goal.

Euro 2024 Group F Betting Tips

Portugal is the bookies’ favorite to win Group F at -225, and it’s easy to see why. The Portuguese blitzed their group, with ten wins from 10 matches, scoring 36 goals and conceding just two. Cristiano Ronaldo chipped in with 10 goals in qualifying to finish runner-up to Belgium’s Romelu Lukaka (14) in the top goalscorer rankings.

Georgia will play in their first international tournament, qualifying for Euro 2024 after beating Greece 4-2 on penalties.

Portugal To Win Group F (-225)

Portugal is the clear favorite to win their group, and it’s no surprise why. Their squad boasts world-class talent, including Cristiano Ronaldo & Bruno Fernandes, and is managed by the experienced Roberto Martínez.

At -225, they are a safe bet to win Group F.

Turkey To Qualify From Group F (-350)

Turkey was tipped as the dark horse of Euro 2020 but crashed out of the competition with three back-to-back losses and just a solitary goal. Their recent qualifiers suggest they are back to avenge their misfortunes last time out.

Under new boss Vincenzo Montella, Turkey plays in a 4-2-3-1 and looks like a new outfit with a clear tactical identity. A bet on them to qualify is essentially a bet on them to overcome the Czech Republic, which at -350 is good value.

Where To Bet on the Euro 2024 Group Stages

When it comes to wagering on the Euro 2024 Group Stages, our team of sports gambling experts highly recommends BetOnline. It’s a long-serving soccer betting site accessible in every state, providing highly competitive odds and slick in-play betting, making it ideal for this purpose.

Newcomers to the platform can also take advantage of BetOnline’s generous 50% deposit bonus, which is worth up to $1,000 in free credit.